quinta-feira, 16 de outubro de 2014

Scratch your head, dude

Price flexibility

We usually think of it as a plus. Now, suppose you are in a balance sheet recession -- Japan in 1990, Europe now -- and you have a pile of nominal debt over-hanging, call it B. With too much price flexibility, the slump pushes prices very low, B/P increases a lot, and the real burden of debt goes thr the roof. This accentuates the logic behind the balance sheet recession...!

Quantitative Easing in Europe

People in the real world love QE. Does it really boost demand in the short run? More money, M, in the economy pushes asset prices higher very fast, particularly the price of houses. Now, since renters are usually poorer than owners and have greater marginal propensities to consume in the short run, higher rental rates and prices, by redistributing money from renters to owners adversely affect agreggate demand. What if this channel trumps the others??

4 comentários:

  1. X, você viu o paper do Cochrane sobre os modelos keynesianos de juro nominal zero?

    1. Ele tem a ver com essa questão

      Sua opinião sobre o paper dele é bem vinda.

  2. At the zero bound, I find it hard to believe the fiscal multiplier is negative...out of i=0 that may well be, but at i=0, no.

    1. Mas acho que ele não discute se são ou não negativos, mas sim que são pequenos ao invés daqueles enormes multiplicadores.

      Ele também discute algumas resultados esdrúxulos como choques de oferta piorarem a economia no zero bound.

      Dá uma lida X, vai gostar.